UFC 269 predictions – Charles Oliveira vs. Dustin Poirier: fight card, odds, expert picks, prelims, preview


The last UFC PPV event of 2021 is here. The year opened with Dustin Poirier seeking revenge on Conor McGregor in what would be the second fight in their Abu Dhabi trilogy and will end with the former interim lightweight champion looking to cement his legacy with a title. undisputed in the main event of UFC 269 against current defending champion Charles Oliveira. Both fighters go on massive winning streaks and operate near the peak of their respective bounties.

The main co-event features bantamweight and featherweight champion Amanda Nunes defending her 135-pound title against Julianna Pena. Nunes hasn’t lost a fight since 2014 while having arguably the most impressive race in MMA history, male or female. Nunes has defeated every woman to hold the bantamweight or featherweight titles, including crushing knockouts of Ronda Rousey and Cris Cyborg.

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With so much going on on Saturday night, let’s take a closer look at the full fight card with the latest odds from Caesars Sportsbook before moving on to our staff’s predictions and our picks for the PPV portion of the festivities.

UFC 269 fight card, odds

  • Dustin Poirier -160 vs. Charles Oliveira (c) +135, lightweight championship
  • Amanda Nunes (c) -900 v Julianna Pena +600, Women’s Bantamweight Championship
  • Santiago Ponzinibbio -130 vs. Geoff Neal +110, welterweight
  • Cody Garbrandt -140 against Kai Kara-France +120, flyweight
  • Sean O’Malley -310 v Raulian Paiva +260, bantamweight
  • Josh Emmett -165 v Dan Ige +140, featherweight
  • Pedro Munhoz -115 v Dominick Cruz -105, bantamweight
  • Augusto Sakai -110 vs. Tai Tuivasa -110, heavyweight
  • Bruno Silva -360 vs. Jordan Wright +280, middleweight
  • Andre Muniz -155 v Eryk Anders +130, middleweight
  • Miranda Maverick -135 v Erin Blanchfield +115, flyweight women
  • Ryan Hall -200 vs. Darrick Minner +170, featherweight
  • Randy Costa -180 vs. Tony Kelley + 155, bantamweight
  • Gillian Robertson -360 v Priscila Cachoeira +280, flyweight women

With such a massive main event, the CBS Sports team went ahead with predictions and picks for the main card. Here are your coaches: Brent Brookhouse (Combat Sports Writer), Brian Campbell (Combat Sports Writer, “Morning Kombat” co-host), Matthew Coca (Producer), Jack Crosby (Editor), Michael Mormile (Producer) and Brandon Wise (editor-in-chief).

UFC 269 pick, predictions

Oliveira (c) v Poirier Pear tree Oliveira Pear tree Pear tree Pear tree Pear tree
Nunes (c) vs. Pena Nunes Nunes Nunes Nunes Nunes Nunes
Neal vs. Ponzinibbio Ponzinibbio Ponzinibbio Ponzinibbio Neal Ponzinibbio Ponzinibbio
Garbrandt against France France France Garbrandt Garbrandt Garbrandt France
O’Malley vs. Paiva O’Malley O’Malley O’Malley O’Malley O’Malley O’Malley
Records to date (2021) 41-19 40-20 41-19 40-20 39-21 36-24

Campbell explains why Poirier will win: Poirier, the 155-pound uncrowned, still-object lightweight champion, seeks to cement his Hall of Fame resume against the irresistible force that is Oliveira. The defending champion has proven that he can finish anyone, in any way, at any point in a fight. Oliveira holds UFC records for finishes and submission wins. But the Brazil native won’t be able to lure Poirier into the kind of reckless brawl that Michael Chandler so readily entered into during their vacant title fight. Look for the battle-proven Poirier to lead this fight into the championship rounds to allow Oliveira’s playstyle to create straightforward error. This is when Poirier’s experience at the highest level will kick in and create an opportunity to end the fight.

Brookhouse explains why Oliveira will win: Poirier is a wonderful fighter and rightly considered the best lightweight on the planet. However, he is not a perfect fighter and he is someone who can be forced into uncomfortable situations. Against Dan Hooker, Poirier was forced to such places. And, in the rare moments that Conor McGregor has been successful in the last two fights with Poirier, it was a mix of aggression and openings left by Poirier that created those opportunities. Oliveira is an underdog for good reason, but upheavals are happening and this fight feels like a perfect situation where Oliveira’s combination of aggression and otherworldly ability to turn mistakes into finishes will allow her to kickstart the game. loop sport.

Campbell explains why Nunes will win: Pena said all the right things to get her first title and comes into this game against the greatest fighter in MMA history with the right frame of mind. Make no mistake, “The Venezuelan Vixen” certainly comes out on top. But hunger alone cannot compensate for the large skill gap between the two. Not only is Nunes running out of holes in her game, but Pena has yet to really maximize her potential in one fight. She is only 2-2 in the past five years, losing solidly to current or former champions Valentina Shevchenko and Germaine de Randamie. Pena is in this position more due to the division’s lack of depth. Expect Nunes to try and make a point of leading the fight on the ground just so she can show that even fighting on Pena’s terms won’t make any difference. Nunes is the GOAT for a reason.

Brookhouse explains why Ponzinibbio will win: This is a high risk fight. Either man could take the win here depending on a number of factors. Ponzinibbio must find a way to keep the pressure on while avoiding being put to sleep by Neal. Neal is a finisher and Ponzinibbio finished, including there are only two fights when he was knocked out by Li Jingliang. Still, Neal too often expects perfect shots while Ponzinibbio is happy to throw at high volumes. If Neal is able to maintain good rhythm and good forward pressure he might just win this, but Ponzinibbio can win this just by applying rhythm and volume over three laps.

Campbell explains why France will win: On a three-game losing streak in four fights, Cody Garbrandt entered desperate territory for his flyweight debut. The former bantamweight king remains the betting favorite because of his size and power, but there are legitimate concerns about cutting down to a weight class he has never fought for. Garbrandt saw how difficult it was for his longtime rival TJ Dillashaw to attempt the same move. If Garbrandt was compromised in terms of endurance or cut resistance to blows, Kara-France is the perfect fighter to exhibit that. The product of City Kickboxing in New Zealand is quick and sharp in its attack. He also needs that kind of signing victory to get him started in the title race. Garbrandt should be dangerous at first. The Kara-France movement will make the difference.

Wise on why O’Malley will win: Another fight, another installation position for O’Malley. It’s hard to get excited about these competitions when it’s clear he refuses to face tougher opponents until the UFC increases his pay or his contract expires. Paiva can bring some danger to this fight, but O’Malley’s advantages in height, range, speed, and dynamism will be hard to overcome. Barring an abnormal injury like the one that caused his first professional loss, O’Malley would have to sail and possibly score another knockout.

Who wins Oliveira against Poirier? And how exactly does each fight end? Visit SportsLine now for detailed picks on every fight at UFC 269, all from the incomparable expert who has won over $ 13,000 in MMA in the past 34 months, and find out.


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